Racket Science

The Racket Science model has crunched the numbers for the US Open night session and found two data-driven picks that stand out against the market. Both players have favourable serve and return metrics for the hardcourt conditions in New York.

• 19:00 US Open, New York

  Men's Singles Third Round

  Marcus Ivanov 6/4

  Ivanov is averaging 16.4 aces per match on hardcourt this season and has won 78% of first-serve points. His opponent has been broken in 28% of service games over the same stretch, so the model makes him a clear value call at 6/4.

  Marcus Ivanov

  19:00 US Open, New York

  Best Odds6/4
• 21:30 US Open, New York

  Women's Singles Third Round

  Sofia Chen 7/4

  Chen ranks in the top eight for return points won on hardcourt this year and has covered the games handicap in her last five night-session matches. The price has drifted after an early scare in round one, but the underlying numbers point to a comfortable win.

  Sofia Chen

  21:30 US Open, New York

  Best Odds7/4

18+, please gamble responsibly. Odds are correct at time of writing and can change.